Politics15 days left

Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?

YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$13.5K
219 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 118 traders

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs26 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 33¢
YES 10%NO 90%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 33¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+5 new YES+13 new NO · 6 smart whales
$64 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 45h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $436·NO $1.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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