PoliticsResolved
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$659.6K
3,844 trades
Smart Whales
124
of 1,113 traders
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs97 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $500 is directional: YES $500·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.9K(-89.0%)
Whales
27
N
NFTStonky🥇
Entry 16¢·5,402.4 shares
Invested
$846
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
$-846
$-846INV $846 · WR 80.2%
B
bluby🥈
Entry 16¢·3,032.1 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-500
$-500INV $500 · WR 66.7%
R
RememberAmalek🥉hedged
Entry 0¢·250,000 shares·also $232 on NO
Invested
$250
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-250
$-250INV $250 · WR 64.4%
S
ScottyNooohedged
Entry 5¢·3,331.9 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$168
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-168
$-168INV $168 · WR 56.0%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 19¢·377.1 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $70 · WR 65.3%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 7¢·220 shares·also $183 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 66.9%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 0¢·10,000 shares·also $942 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 57.7%
H
huyewell
Entry 0¢·6,264.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 8 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$215.4K
Avg Win Rate
89.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.3K(+1.5%)
Whales
97
0
0x0a543bb9...🥇
Entry 100¢·199,849.6 shares
Invested
$199.6K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$216
+$216INV $199.6K · WR 91.4%
J
JoeBlack01🥈
Entry 75¢·4,754.7 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1191
+$1191INV $3.6K · WR 60.0%
S
ScottyNooo🥉hedged
Entry 98¢·1,366.2 shares·also $168 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $1.3K · WR 56.0%
D
DooBieZ
Entry 82¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$270
+$270INV $1.2K · WR 62.8%
H
hideo
Entry 82¢·1,261.2 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$227
+$227INV $1.0K · WR 75.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 82¢·1,147.7 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$942
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$206
+$206INV $942 · WR 57.7%
T
TheKinginYellow
Entry 90¢·989.4 shares
Invested
$892
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $892 · WR 68.6%
P
Porx
Entry 91¢·914.2 shares
Invested
$834
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $834 · WR 65.9%
P
predictbaba97
Entry 92¢·829.2 shares
Invested
$763
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $763 · WR 56.6%
M
mattheusmaximus
Entry 83¢·599.5 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $500 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 97
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