PoliticsResolved
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$18.0K
257 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 73 traders
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs19 NO
10%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $640 is directional: YES $640·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$645
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$645(-100.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.3K
Avg Win Rate
73.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$858(+11.7%)
Whales
19
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 93¢·6,741 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$450
+$450INV $6.3K · WR 72.2%
B
BetterFish◆Proven🥈
Entry 99¢·400 shares
Invested
$395
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $395 · WR 70.2%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 96¢·160 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $154 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 68¢·200 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $136 · WR 89.3%
I
i18z
Entry 91¢·98.7 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $89 · WR 87.1%
B
baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475
Entry 31¢·221 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$153
+$153INV $68 · WR 87.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 98¢·60 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $59 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $30 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 96¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 87.7%
N
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses
Entry 95¢·28.9 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 85.8%
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