Resolved
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$17.2K
451 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 91 traders
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs23 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $247 is directional: YES $0·NO $247YES Team
Total Invested
$6.3K
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.2K(+97.5%)
Whales
24
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 47¢·8,894.3 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$4699
+$4699INV $4.2K · WR 61.5%
D
DJBLAK🥈
Entry 48¢·1,077.2 shares
Invested
$512
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$563
+$563INV $512 · WR 73.1%
P
PredictionYogi🥉
Entry 100¢·444.9 shares
Invested
$444
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $444 · WR 77.7%
S
Slimy-Dawnhedged
Entry 42¢·839.9 shares·also $717 on NO
Invested
$351
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$488
+$488INV $351 · WR 61.1%
M
Michael5289
Entry 99¢·244.6 shares
Invested
$241
Win Rate
95.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $241 · WR 95.0%
D
Dow-Jones
Entry 44¢·295 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $129 · WR 59.4%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 62¢·144.1 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $90 · WR 59.8%
.
.chat
Entry 95¢·60 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $57 · WR 58.0%
J
justagrosshopper
Entry 57¢·84 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $48 · WR 55.3%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 79¢·50.7 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $40 · WR 59.8%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-99.3%)
Whales
23
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash🥇
Entry 100¢·763.4 shares
Invested
$763
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-761
$-761INV $763 · WR 59.7%
S
Slimy-Dawn🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·839.9 shares·also $351 on YES
Invested
$717
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-716
$-716INV $717 · WR 61.1%
K
kongehund🥉
Entry 82¢·300 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-246
$-246INV $246 · WR 68.5%
J
JesseLivermore99
Entry 27¢·412 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-111
$-111INV $111 · WR 71.5%
F
Flimsy-Handle
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $85 · WR 83.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 23¢·38.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 85.8%
D
DECADEZERO
Entry 71¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 0¢·200 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 1¢·30 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 23
Smart Whale Trades
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