GeopoliticsResolved
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$21.9K
1,016 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 225 traders
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs31 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $683 is directional: YES $125·NO $558YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$991(-84.6%)
Whales
17
R
RememberAmalek🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·415 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$342
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-342
$-342INV $342 · WR 64.4%
S
Started-with-20-USD🥈hedged
Entry 228¢·100 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$228
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-228
$-228INV $228 · WR 59.0%
J
Jnf17🥉hedged
Entry 47¢·343 shares·also $232 on NO
Invested
$161
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-161
$-161INV $161 · WR 66.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 39¢·200 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-78
$-78INV $78 · WR 72.2%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 52¢·131 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $68 · WR 56.8%
H
hymolu
Entry 6¢·952.6 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $58 · WR 76.7%
M
Mandalorec
Entry 39¢·125 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $48 · WR 60.0%
Y
yopik
Entry 29¢·15.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 63.2%
N
neh-man
Entry 70¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 77.3%
M
mapleggg
Entry 20¢·0.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+64.3%)
Whales
31
R
RememberAmalek🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·1,542.3 shares·also $342 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$331
+$331INV $1.2K · WR 64.4%
J
Jnf17🥈hedged
Entry 68¢·343 shares·also $161 on YES
Invested
$232
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $232 · WR 66.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·400 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$200
+$200INV $200 · WR 79.6%
C
cedt0n
Entry 41¢·436 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$256
+$256INV $180 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 49¢·338.8 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$173
+$173INV $166 · WR 85.9%
B
bu66y
Entry 42¢·300 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $126 · WR 89.6%
S
sabsabinxz
Entry 52¢·234.5 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $122 · WR 65.9%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $100 · WR 82.9%
Z
Zenitoro
Entry 51¢·194.8 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $100 · WR 55.6%
G
Glistening-Naming
Entry 43¢·201.1 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$114
+$114INV $87 · WR 57.6%
Showing top 10 of 31
Smart Whale Trades
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