Resolved
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$12.0K
440 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 142 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs14 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $244YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$712(+57.1%)
Whales
9
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 75¢·915.7 shares
Invested
$690
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$198
+$198INV $690 · WR 61.5%
S
Slimy-Dawn🥈
Entry 48¢·649.9 shares
Invested
$311
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$319
+$319INV $311 · WR 61.1%
P
PredictionYogi🥉
Entry 50¢·257.6 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$129
+$129INV $129 · WR 77.7%
F
fountaim◆Proven
Entry 93¢·53.2 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $50 · WR 82.1%
V
VechnoMolodoyy
Entry 56¢·47.4 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $27 · WR 63.0%
D
Dow-Joneshedged
Entry 94¢·26 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$24
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 59.4%
T
TemuOracle
Entry 32¢·30 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $10 · WR 82.3%
7
0x71d0b4bc...
Entry 84¢·6.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 86.5%
D
DJBLAK
Entry 8¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $2 · WR 73.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$418
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$401(-96.0%)
Whales
14
K
kongehund🥇
Entry 43¢·512 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-204
$-204INV $219 · WR 68.5%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 17¢·333 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $56 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 46¢·77 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 86.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 46¢·44.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 79.6%
A
arcanecapital
Entry 65¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 62.2%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 12¢·143.9 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 83.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 33¢·44.7 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 87.7%
N
neverhackme
Entry 32¢·40 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 75.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 13¢·54.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 72.2%
T
TorySored
Entry 95¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 90.8%
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