GeopoliticsResolved
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$116.1K
2,587 trades
Smart Whales
123
of 612 traders
Smart Money Consensus
68 YESvs55 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $668 is directional: YES $0·NO $668YES Team
Total Invested
$12.7K
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.6K(+20.3%)
Whales
68
A
Afornson🥇
Entry 87¢·9,212.5 shares
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$1221
+$1221INV $8.0K · WR 63.6%
D
Deepwinner888🥈
Entry 93¢·1,427.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $1.3K · WR 74.9%
T
tradexplorer🥉
Entry 55¢·1,230.8 shares
Invested
$673
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$557
+$557INV $673 · WR 56.7%
E
evieandlewis
Entry 78¢·519.1 shares
Invested
$402
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $402 · WR 55.3%
C
ChatGPT-5
Entry 94¢·422.1 shares
Invested
$397
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $397 · WR 81.0%
P
PredictionYogi
Entry 99¢·202.6 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $201 · WR 77.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 96¢·200 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $192 · WR 57.7%
D
0xd897b23d...hedged
Entry 46¢·300 shares·also $200 on NO
Invested
$138
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$162
+$162INV $138 · WR 81.8%
W
Weatherboy42
Entry 47¢·257.4 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $121 · WR 59.7%
K
kekis
Entry 43¢·175.4 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $75 · WR 76.5%
Showing top 10 of 68
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.1K(-77.2%)
Whales
55
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥇
Entry 21¢·3,220.4 shares
Invested
$668
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-668
$-668INV $668 · WR 60.2%
R
rated🥈
Entry 35¢·1,703.5 shares
Invested
$590
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-589
$-589INV $590 · WR 87.7%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 26¢·1,922.5 shares
Invested
$494
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-493
$-493INV $494 · WR 85.8%
J
jofo
Entry 95¢·399 shares
Invested
$379
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-379
$-379INV $379 · WR 61.7%
P
paspor
Entry 43¢·819.6 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-351
$-351INV $351 · WR 85.8%
J
jsi3fj2kfwhh923kf
Entry 37¢·866.5 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-323
$-323INV $324 · WR 86.3%
K
kongehund
Entry 55¢·363.3 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-201
$-201INV $201 · WR 68.5%
D
0xd897b23d...hedged
Entry 67¢·300 shares·also $138 on YES
Invested
$200
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-199
$-199INV $200 · WR 81.8%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 31¢·530.7 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-166
$-166INV $166 · WR 87.6%
W
Worthy-Lament
Entry 47¢·299.9 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-141
$-141INV $141 · WR 61.6%
Showing top 10 of 55
Smart Whale Trades
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