Geopolitics20 days left
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
YES Price
82¢
82% implied
NO Price
18¢
18% implied
Volume
$6.1K
242 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 82 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
7 MARKETS · $16.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
3¢+6¢$8111/10Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31+6¢3¢
$8111/10
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31←
82¢−68¢$6.1K2/12Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31←−68¢82¢
$6.1K2/12
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
5¢−5¢$8640/12Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−5¢5¢
$8640/12
Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
3¢−3¢$8910/10Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31−3¢3¢
$8910/10
Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31
3¢+12¢$1.4K2/11Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31+12¢3¢
$1.4K2/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 83%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$1.3K+8 new NO$270
$27 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.0K is directional: YES $998·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$110(+9.9%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$167
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$70(-41.7%)
Whales
12
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 26¢·190 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $50 · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥈
Entry 33¢·126.7 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $42 · WR 79.2%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 58¢·26 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $15 · WR 85.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 29¢·45.9 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $13 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 24¢·50 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 30¢·30 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $9 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 37¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 89.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 35¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 88.2%
J
just-bettor
Entry 46¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 62.0%
M
mapleggg
Entry 31¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 86.1%
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