Resolved
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$10.2K
230 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 109 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs5 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $178 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $176·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$617(+15.9%)
Whales
10
A
amend🥇
Entry 96¢·2,983.3 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $2.9K · WR 58.2%
T
TheKinginYellow🥈
Entry 65¢·400 shares
Invested
$260
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $260 · WR 68.6%
R
Raskell🥉
Entry 87¢·284.3 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $248 · WR 62.9%
F
flexo
Entry 61¢·287.8 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $176 · WR 62.3%
M
Michael5289
Entry 100¢·115 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
95.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $115 · WR 95.0%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 88¢·100 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $88 · WR 73.2%
T
tinman2
Entry 75¢·100 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $75 · WR 66.1%
1
1walrushedged
Entry 28¢·170.1 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $48 · WR 65.2%
S
Subdued-Pastahedged
Entry 18¢·81 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $15 · WR 85.4%
P
polyinit-111-5936dbhedged
Entry 22¢·1.6 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 55.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$94
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$93(-98.8%)
Whales
5
S
Subdued-Pasta🥇hedged
Entry 63¢·81 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$51
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $51 · WR 85.4%
1
1walrus🥈hedged
Entry 16¢·156.7 shares·also $48 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 65.2%
T
trashtier🥉
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 63.2%
P
polyinit-111-5936dbhedged
Entry 68¢·1.5 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.5%
O
oplix
Entry 6¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 61.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 605ms