GeopoliticsResolved
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$16.9K
473 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 199 traders
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs11 NO
73%28%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14 is directional: YES $0·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$5.8K
Avg Win Rate
90.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$236(+4.1%)
Whales
29
M
Michael5289🥇
Entry 100¢·4,055 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
95.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $4.0K · WR 95.0%
S
Simon4s🥈
Entry 98¢·536.5 shares
Invested
$527
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $527 · WR 74.4%
F
fElon🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·294.7 shares·also $43 on NO
Invested
$292
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $292 · WR 89.8%
D
DJBLAK
Entry 95¢·262.4 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $250 · WR 73.1%
3
3zekiel
Entry 95¢·248.9 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $237 · WR 87.3%
A
albert.00
Entry 67¢·216.4 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $146 · WR 69.0%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 91¢·34.8 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $32 · WR 56.8%
A
alpha-hnt
Entry 100¢·30.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
96.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 96.0%
I
i.newton◆Proven
Entry 94¢·28.6 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $27 · WR 86.7%
D
DaveDD
Entry 95¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 71.6%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$530
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$523(-98.8%)
Whales
11
D
Downright-Meat🥇
Entry 117¢·207.8 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-243
$-243INV $243 · WR 66.5%
Q
Quixotic-Tail🥈
Entry 112¢·108.2 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $121 · WR 71.2%
M
MrMelonHead🥉hedged
Entry 92¢·107.6 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$99
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $99 · WR 65.3%
F
fElonhedged
Entry 14¢·296.6 shares·also $292 on YES
Invested
$43
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $43 · WR 89.8%
T
trashtier
Entry 5¢·288.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 63.2%
8
88mnm88
Entry 1¢·115.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 77.1%
I
IvyWyat
Entry 1¢·122.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.8%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 0¢·50 shares·also $32 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 8 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
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