Resolved
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$18.0K
704 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 139 traders
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs22 NO
12%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.9K is directional: YES $1.5K·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-98.9%)
Whales
3
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 33¢·4,472.8 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-1444
$-1444INV $1.5K · WR 61.5%
S
Slimy-Dawn🥈hedged
Entry 51¢·137.4 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$70
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $70 · WR 61.1%
D
Dow-Jones🥉hedged
Entry 60¢·91 shares·also $117 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $55 · WR 59.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+58.2%)
Whales
22
K
kongehund🥇
Entry 70¢·1,426.7 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$416
+$416INV $1.0K · WR 68.5%
D
DJBLAK🥈
Entry 81¢·235.2 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $191 · WR 73.1%
P
PlasticFlesh🥉
Entry 75¢·200 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $150 · WR 81.1%
D
Dow-Joneshedged
Entry 61¢·191 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $117 · WR 59.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·70 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $35 · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·53.2 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $27 · WR 79.2%
M
Michael5289
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
95.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $25 · WR 95.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 49¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $25 · WR 88.2%
J
justagrosshopper
Entry 59¢·40 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $24 · WR 55.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 89.3%
Showing top 10 of 22
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