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Geopolitics80 days left

Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$103.9K
1,145 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 334 traders

How many different countries will the US strike in 2026?

7 MARKETS · $624.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

10 YESvs38 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 33% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $402 is directional: YES $132·NO $271
YES Team
Total Invested
$185
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$116(-62.8%)
Whales
10
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 9¢·869 shares
$-78INV $82 · WR 61.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥈
Entry 6¢·400 shares
$-23INV $26 · WR 66.8%
N
nufonehudis67🥉
Entry 3¢·482.7 shares
$-12INV $15 · WR 55.4%
L
Lurki
Entry 0¢·1,938 shares
+$1INV $9 · WR 56.7%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 3¢·106.8 shares·also $119 on NO
$-3INV $3 · WR 56.3%
K
KimWell21
Entry 0¢·3.1 shares
+$0INV $0 · WR 66.8%
M
mymacbookProven
Entry 0¢·4.1 shares
+$0INV $0 · WR 80.1%
Showing top 7 of 10

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 21% YES: the US strike 13 countries in 2026