Geopolitics80 days left
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$18.2K
704 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 171 traders
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
17 MARKETS · $170.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.
24¢+19¢$53.1K9/12Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.+19¢24¢
$53.1K9/12
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company
9¢+20¢$12.0K4/10Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company+20¢9¢
$12.0K4/10
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited←
12¢+7¢$18.2K3/13Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited←+7¢12¢
$18.2K3/13
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI
14¢+42¢$12.0K14/11Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI+42¢14¢
$12.0K14/11
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.
4¢+39¢$5.0K3/4Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.+39¢4¢
$5.0K3/4
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation
13¢+23¢$17.7K4/7Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation+23¢13¢
$17.7K4/7
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation
11¢−11¢$3.9K0/7Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation−11¢11¢
$3.9K0/7
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance
4¢+76¢$6.5K4/1Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance+76¢4¢
$6.5K4/1
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
8¢+42¢$3.5K3/3Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.+42¢8¢
$3.5K3/3
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.
10¢+28¢$5.2K3/5Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.+28¢10¢
$5.2K3/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.
9¢+24¢$3.0K2/4Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.+24¢9¢
$3.0K2/4
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC
14¢+24¢$7.5K3/5Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC+24¢14¢
$7.5K3/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company
8¢+21¢$4.1K2/5Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company+21¢8¢
$4.1K2/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.
5¢−5¢$6.8K0/5Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.−5¢5¢
$6.8K0/5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.
4¢+52¢$10.4K5/4Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.+52¢4¢
$10.4K5/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs13 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$75
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$39(-51.9%)
Whales
3
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven🥇
Entry 19¢·270 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $50 · WR 56.3%
A
aliiz🥈hedged
Entry 127¢·17.9 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $23 · WR 65.1%
M
mskl🥉hedged
Entry 18¢·13.8 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 57.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$17(+1.3%)
Whales
13
M
MrNoItAll🥇
Entry 89¢·819.9 shares
Invested
$730
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $730 · WR 89.6%
D
deepsleep🥈
Entry 87¢·253 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $219 · WR 69.2%
M
Midas14🥉
Entry 83¢·152.1 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $126 · WR 74.8%
M
Musk5
Entry 88¢·127.7 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $113 · WR 71.9%
A
ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO
Entry 88¢·93.2 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $82 · WR 79.5%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 86¢·56 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $48 · WR 56.0%
A
aliizhedged
Entry 61¢·17.9 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $11 · WR 65.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 68.2%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 77.9%
I
Indigoat
Entry 91¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.1%
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