GeopoliticsResolved
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$443.1K
3,880 trades
Smart Whales
117
of 1,032 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
2 MARKETS · $443.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs96 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-95.3%)
Whales
21
M
mombil◆Proven🥇
Entry 17¢·8,392.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-1440
$-1440INV $1.4K · WR 60.4%
S
ScottyNooo🥈hedged
Entry 8¢·5,920.1 shares·also $8.1K on NO
Invested
$471
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-471
$-471INV $471 · WR 56.0%
T
theta-thunberg🥉
Entry 8¢·3,298.6 shares
Invested
$254
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-254
$-254INV $254 · WR 56.4%
F
Faston
Entry 13¢·200 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $26 · WR 55.2%
O
Ordon
Entry 10¢·221.7 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 88.2%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 11¢·181.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 57.1%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 11¢·126 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 74.1%
Showing top 7 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$36.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.6K(+9.8%)
Whales
96
S
ScottyNooo🥇hedged
Entry 93¢·8,703.6 shares·also $471 on YES
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$589
+$589INV $8.1K · WR 56.0%
E
ED99999🥈
Entry 83¢·5,984.9 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$991
+$991INV $5.0K · WR 73.6%
M
M2sx92kljs42🥉
Entry 91¢·4,990.8 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$438
+$438INV $4.6K · WR 71.2%
T
thewherewithal
Entry 91¢·3,531 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$307
+$307INV $3.2K · WR 76.9%
A
apple-pi◆Proven
Entry 87¢·2,751.9 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$358
+$358INV $2.4K · WR 66.6%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 92¢·1,766 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$147
+$147INV $1.6K · WR 90.9%
S
SwissMiss
Entry 91¢·1,714.9 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $1.6K · WR 62.6%
D
DegenerateJanet
Entry 93¢·1,242.1 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $1.2K · WR 83.8%
E
Eatpraylove
Entry 98¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$983
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $983 · WR 72.8%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 98¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$983
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $983 · WR 70.5%
Showing top 10 of 96
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