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20 days left

Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$15.6K
479 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 184 traders

Reserve Bank of India decision in December

5 MARKETS · $36.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

10 YESvs24 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 17¢
YES 29%NO 71%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 17¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+8 new YES+18 new NO · 2 smart whales
$93 bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 18h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $125 is directional: YES $118·NO $7
YES Team
Total Invested
$128
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$29(-22.6%)
Whales
10
6
0x6fa70d26...Proven🥇
Entry 27¢·226.9 shares
$-24INV $61 · WR 86.9%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 19¢·150 shares
$-3INV $28 · WR 71.6%
A
Arid-Pagoda🥉
Entry 16¢·80 shares
+$1INV $13 · WR 62.8%
Q
QR1
Entry 26¢·31 shares
$-3INV $8 · WR 66.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 20¢·28 shares
$-1INV $6 · WR 60.4%
L
LllLHhedged
Entry 25¢·20 shares·also $15 on NO
$-2INV $5 · WR 74.0%
L
lpgbhedged
Entry 15¢·22 shares·also $35 on NO
+$0INV $3 · WR 72.0%
H
helloMahnn67
Entry 12¢·21.5 shares
+$1INV $3 · WR 65.5%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 15¢·12.2 shares
+$0INV $2 · WR 60.4%
M
mskl
Entry 11¢·0.8 shares
+$0INV $0 · WR 66.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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