Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$18.5K
544 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 174 traders
Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner
2 MARKETS · $56.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs49 NO
94%
94% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$96+21 new NO$672
$27 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $948 is directional: YES $90·NO $858YES Team
Total Invested
$100
Avg Win Rate
55.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+8.1%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
77.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$514(+10.1%)
Whales
49
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 78¢·1,837.9 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$212
+$212INV $1.4K · WR 72.1%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 93¢·855.2 shares
Invested
$792
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $792 · WR 87.7%
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥉
Entry 87¢·631.1 shares
Invested
$547
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $547 · WR 66.3%
L
Lucerys
Entry 92¢·377.7 shares
Invested
$349
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $349 · WR 88.0%
M
mrworldwide◆Proven
Entry 85¢·300 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $255 · WR 76.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 90¢·273.4 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $245 · WR 86.2%
C
C.PM
Entry 88¢·237 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $209 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 59¢·234.4 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $138 · WR 79.6%
Z
zerone777
Entry 94¢·70.5 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $66 · WR 84.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 92¢·70 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $65 · WR 87.7%
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