Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES Price
88¢
88% implied
NO Price
12¢
12% implied
Volume
$31.5K
587 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 162 traders
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets)
4 MARKETS · $104.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Republican Party hold below 170 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections
1¢+34¢$18.4K12/22Will the Republican Party hold below 170 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections+34¢1¢
$18.4K12/22
Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections
10¢+21¢$47.1K17/37Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections+21¢10¢
$47.1K17/37
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs36 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 88¢
YES 29%NO 71%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 88¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
$164
$0
+4 new YES+0 new NO
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.5K is directional: YES $6.4K·NO $37YES Team
Total Invested
$6.8K
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+22.1%)
Whales
15
S
seal7◆Proven🥇
Entry 69¢·6,349.1 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$1180
+$1180INV $4.4K · WR 60.2%
A
Alive-Gumshoe🥈
Entry 78¢·1,531.2 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
+$157
+$157INV $1.2K · WR 72.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 73¢·600 shares
Invested
$440
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $440 · WR 57.1%
S
sweetj
Entry 78¢·402 shares
Invested
$312
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $312 · WR 71.6%
S
sbimbg
Entry 84¢·340.2 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $286 · WR 71.2%
2
0x277f95ce...
Entry 75¢·86 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $64 · WR 59.0%
G
g128
Entry 86¢·50 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $43 · WR 57.0%
L
lpgbhedged
Entry 67¢·59 shares·also $57 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $39 · WR 72.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 91¢·17.6 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 68.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 51¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 69.1%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.2K(-67.3%)
Whales
36
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 47¢·3,339.8 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1147
$-1147INV $1.6K · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 31¢·3,009.4 shares
Invested
$939
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-569
$-569INV $939 · WR 71.9%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 46¢·1,739 shares
Invested
$798
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-584
$-584INV $798 · WR 85.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 88¢·255 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-192
$-192INV $223 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 33¢·525 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $173 · WR 87.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 58¢·233.6 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $136 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 39¢·317.4 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $123 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 94¢·92.9 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $88 · WR 88.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 49¢·155.2 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $76 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 47¢·121.9 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $57 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 36
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