PoliticsResolved
Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$18.5K
322 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 96 traders
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
4 MARKETS · $531.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections←
0¢+28¢$18.5K10/26Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections←+28¢0¢
$18.5K10/26
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections
84¢−55¢$186.6K12/30Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections−55¢84¢
$186.6K12/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs25 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$107+32 new NO$4.9K
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales22 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $274YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-99.6%)
Whales
11
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 11¢·4,307.8 shares
Invested
$479
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-476
$-476INV $479 · WR 79.6%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 11¢·2,167.2 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-231
$-231INV $233 · WR 86.1%
A
anciano🥉
Entry 4¢·2,710.2 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $109 · WR 59.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 11¢·794.9 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $88 · WR 72.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 11¢·633.6 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $70 · WR 86.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 11¢·602.8 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $67 · WR 88.9%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 10¢·458.9 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $48 · WR 60.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 11¢·347 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $39 · WR 88.0%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 11¢·129.6 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 9 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$609(+18.3%)
Whales
25
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 99¢·514.8 shares
Invested
$511
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $511 · WR 89.2%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 99¢·467 shares
Invested
$464
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $464 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 99¢·408.4 shares
Invested
$406
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $406 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 99¢·404.9 shares
Invested
$402
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $402 · WR 79.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 99¢·292 shares
Invested
$290
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $290 · WR 87.0%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 99¢·198.4 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $196 · WR 77.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 99¢·160 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $159 · WR 86.1%
H
Hjklm
Entry 17¢·706.3 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$588
+$588INV $119 · WR 87.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·96.2 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $95 · WR 88.2%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 100¢·94.5 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $94 · WR 60.1%
Showing top 10 of 25
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