Politics10 days left
Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$164
21 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 20 traders
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
9 MARKETS · $2.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections←
9¢−9¢$1640/3Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections←−9¢9¢
$1640/3
Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections
59¢−59¢$5120/3Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections−59¢59¢
$5120/3
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections
8¢−8¢$2180/2Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections−8¢8¢
$2180/2
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections
1¢−1¢$1850/3Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections−1¢1¢
$1850/3
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections
7¢−7¢$3120/2Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections−7¢7¢
$3120/2
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections
9¢−9¢$1330/2Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections−9¢9¢
$1330/2
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections
7¢−7¢$1330/2Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections−7¢7¢
$1330/2
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Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$13+10 new NO$131
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $40 is directional: YES $0·NO $39YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+32.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$44
Avg Win Rate
87.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-3.0%)
Whales
4
A
amblified🥇
Entry 94¢·26.6 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $25 · WR 87.6%
G
glm4.1.fund🥈
Entry 94¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 85.9%
F
fourcoin15m🥉
Entry 98¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 84.3%
V
VincentGaoHJ
Entry 97¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
95.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 95.2%
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