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PoliticsResolved

Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$35.7K
1,083 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 301 traders

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

5 MARKETS · $459.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs56 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$50+15 new NO$1.6K
$21 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $145 is directional: YES $126·NO $19
YES Team
Total Invested
$408
Avg Win Rate
69.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$406(-99.4%)
Whales
11
C
Capital-Endoderm🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·244.2 shares·also $17 on NO
$-222INV $222 · WR 60.7%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 10¢·585.4 shares
$-59INV $59 · WR 88.0%
H
HadleighYang🥉hedged
Entry 6¢·912 shares·also $853 on NO
$-57INV $57 · WR 85.7%
1
11122
Entry 8¢·305.6 shares
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 10¢·240.2 shares
$-24INV $24 · WR 88.7%
L
LR1
Entry 9¢·200 shares
$-18INV $18 · WR 62.7%
H
haruk098
Entry 2¢·40 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 76.0%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 0¢·37.9 shares
$-0INV $0 · WR 60.3%
Showing top 8 of 11

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 15% YES: the Republican Party hold between 210…