Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 6% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$2.8K
139 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 48 traders
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $58.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+7 new YES$1+2 new NO$66
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $83 is directional: YES $83·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$83
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$75(-90.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$497
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+7.5%)
Whales
7
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 95¢·191.8 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $183 · WR 69.8%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 96¢·158.6 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $152 · WR 88.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 82¢·97.6 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $80 · WR 79.6%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 94¢·37.5 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $35 · WR 60.2%
D
dfgzdfg
Entry 98¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 81.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 94¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 86.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·5.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 89.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)