Politics20 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$2.5K
189 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 58 traders
ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $13.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$92+10 new NO$280
$168 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $28 is directional: YES $0·NO $28YES Team
Total Invested
$29
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+32.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$181
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$32(+17.8%)
Whales
7
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 50¢·190 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $95 · WR 88.7%
Y
yoyo424269🥈
Entry 69¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $28 · WR 70.4%
B
Bare-Earring🥉
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $18 · WR 82.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 88¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $18 · WR 87.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 66.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 75¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 89.3%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 84.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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