Politics20 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$2.8K
154 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 54 traders
ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $13.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $24 is directional: YES $24·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$24
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-4.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$203
Avg Win Rate
84.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$56(+27.5%)
Whales
7
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 56¢·170 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $95 · WR 89.3%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 50¢·110 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $55 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 86.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 61¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 66.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 57¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 88.2%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 50¢·16.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 79.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 84.5%
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