Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$26.6K
619 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 172 traders · 1 on both sides
Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $141.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs21 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $671 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $359·NO $309YES Team
Total Invested
$415
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$387(-93.2%)
Whales
10
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven🥇
Entry 19¢·1,395 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-247
$-247INV $266 · WR 67.5%
V
VolynMolfar🥈
Entry 22¢·187 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $40 · WR 64.9%
F
fkpa🥉
Entry 18¢·225.8 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $40 · WR 62.2%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 18¢·180 shares·also $679 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $32 · WR 71.9%
M
melchior1248hedged
Entry 23¢·69.9 shares·also $255 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 70.0%
S
solder
Entry 18¢·55 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 70.9%
L
lpgbhedged
Entry 20¢·30 shares·also $62 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 71.6%
C
coypu
Entry 25¢·8.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 75.0%
S
SiliconBets
Entry 8¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 81.3%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 27¢·4.2 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$638(+33.9%)
Whales
21
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 80¢·843.8 shares·also $32 on YES
Invested
$679
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$154
+$154INV $679 · WR 71.9%
M
melchior1248🥈hedged
Entry 90¢·282.2 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$255
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $255 · WR 70.0%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 78¢·293.1 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $228 · WR 56.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 69¢·230 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $159 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 37¢·287.7 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$177
+$177INV $107 · WR 85.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 83¢·81.5 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $68 · WR 89.0%
L
lpgbhedged
Entry 72¢·85 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$62
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $62 · WR 71.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 68¢·85 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $58 · WR 86.6%
C
Car
Entry 67¢·76.5 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $51 · WR 64.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 64¢·75 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $48 · WR 88.5%
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