Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 10%-20%?
YES Price
97¢
97% implied
NO Price
3¢
3% implied
Volume
$2.7K
81 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 49 traders
AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs8 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $577 is directional: YES $577·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$577
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$731(+126.7%)
Whales
5
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 80¢·504.8 shares
Invested
$401
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $401 · WR 62.1%
S
spaceloaf🥈
Entry 96¢·98.9 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $95 · WR 64.3%
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥉
Entry 8¢·800 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$676
+$676INV $62 · WR 62.2%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 48¢·40 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $19 · WR 55.9%
S
sweetj
Entry 0¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $0 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$170
Avg Win Rate
87.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$162(-95.0%)
Whales
8
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 92¢·85 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $78 · WR 88.6%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 88¢·74.1 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $65 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 52¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 79.2%
A
anothercoin
Entry 89¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 84.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 18¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 89.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 18¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 5¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 86.1%
T
That-Scorn-Midden
Entry 5¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 89.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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