Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$4.5K
172 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 82 traders
AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $242 is directional: YES $130·NO $112YES Team
Total Invested
$147
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$101(-68.8%)
Whales
4
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥇
Entry 11¢·1,021 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $115 · WR 62.2%
A
Anjun🥈hedged
Entry 31¢·55 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 58.4%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 33¢·44 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $14 · WR 72.2%
R
RayGuy
Entry 1¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 57.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$363
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$41(+11.2%)
Whales
12
S
spaceloaf🥇
Entry 99¢·83.2 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $82 · WR 64.3%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 83¢·85 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $71 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 73¢·75.9 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $56 · WR 87.6%
C
Car
Entry 74¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $30 · WR 65.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 92¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $28 · WR 87.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 71.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 84¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 79¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $16 · WR 79.2%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 68¢·23 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $16 · WR 58.4%
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