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Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$13.3K
764 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 229 traders · 2 on both sides

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

18 MARKETS · $79.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs22 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 50%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$1.2K+12 new NO$1.2K
$174 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$23 of $408 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $384·NO $2
YES Team
Total Invested
$400
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$26(-6.6%)
Whales
11
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 44¢·770.4 shares
$-53INV $342 · WR 64.6%
F
FrozenParasite🥈
Entry 30¢·58.6 shares
+$4INV $18 · WR 56.9%
G
GingerMcKenna🥉hedged
Entry 61¢·24.9 shares·also $11 on NO
$-6INV $15 · WR 84.3%
U
Unkempt-Hippodrome
Entry 51¢·26.2 shares
$-3INV $13 · WR 73.3%
8
0x84f9c0b7...
Entry 39¢·11.9 shares
+$1INV $5 · WR 60.9%
3
0x3fa9e91f...
Entry 41¢·4.9 shares
$-0INV $2 · WR 65.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 5¢·28 shares
+$9INV $1 · WR 88.0%
A
a5tthsyuo3c
Entry 6¢·22.8 shares
+$7INV $1 · WR 88.5%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 6¢·20 shares
+$6INV $1 · WR 59.9%
M
mustbethewaterhedged
Entry 5¢·20 shares·also $0 on NO
+$7INV $1 · WR 79.7%
Showing top 10 of 11

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 28% YES: the next governing coalition of New…