Geopolitics76 days left
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$35.8K
1,231 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 227 traders · 1 on both sides
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
19 MARKETS · $167.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs42 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 6 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$1+5 new NO$177
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.2K·NO $749YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-85.7%)
Whales
26
W
wienerdog🥇
Entry 28¢·2,673.5 shares
Invested
$741
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-695
$-695INV $741 · WR 56.3%
M
MisTKy🥈hedged
Entry 163¢·443.5 shares·also $461 on NO
Invested
$721
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-712
$-712INV $721 · WR 71.3%
T
Toncar16🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·360.5 shares·also $119 on NO
Invested
$236
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-228
$-228INV $236 · WR 56.9%
S
Sticky-Closinghedged
Entry 75¢·252.6 shares·also $44 on NO
Invested
$189
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-183
$-183INV $189 · WR 62.6%
P
paddaa
Entry 3¢·4,907.3 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $143 · WR 61.1%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 38¢·290 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $110 · WR 56.0%
A
adasol
Entry 47¢·156.4 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $74 · WR 67.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 10¢·418.4 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $42 · WR 55.2%
T
The-Defect
Entry 56¢·27.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 80.4%
T
Te0n2
Entry 36¢·43 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 66.9%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+58.8%)
Whales
42
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 56¢·1,298.6 shares
Invested
$721
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$549
+$549INV $721 · WR 85.9%
M
MisTKy🥈hedged
Entry 104¢·443.5 shares·also $721 on YES
Invested
$461
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $461 · WR 71.3%
C
Chims◆Proven🥉
Entry 61¢·597.6 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$220
+$220INV $364 · WR 85.2%
E
enrico-vasaio
Entry 85¢·400 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $340 · WR 63.1%
M
MEPP
Entry 90¢·200 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $180 · WR 64.1%
T
Toncar16hedged
Entry 24¢·502.3 shares·also $236 on YES
Invested
$119
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$372
+$372INV $119 · WR 56.9%
P
peterfromfamilyguy
Entry 82¢·142.1 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $117 · WR 60.1%
K
Konfucious
Entry 71¢·122.2 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $87 · WR 62.1%
H
HornyBibi
Entry 43¢·155.2 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $67 · WR 59.9%
M
Marco-Rubio
Entry 24¢·231.3 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $56 · WR 62.5%
Showing top 10 of 42
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 921ms