Tech/AIResolved
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$35.5K
676 trades
Smart Whales
42
of 180 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs27 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$9 of $2.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.3K·NO $338YES Team
Total Invested
$12.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.9K(+79.6%)
Whales
16
W
Waterfall◆Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·14,058.5 shares
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$7029
+$7029INV $7.0K · WR 85.0%
K
kl1v🥈
Entry 60¢·2,499.9 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$1006
+$1006INV $1.5K · WR 80.7%
U
urhfrhchj123123🥉
Entry 50¢·2,298.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$1149
+$1149INV $1.1K · WR 65.7%
G
gambler925hedged
Entry 82¢·1,326.6 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$240
+$240INV $1.1K · WR 57.0%
C
chicanery.
Entry 85¢·1,166.3 shares
Invested
$986
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $986 · WR 62.3%
L
libratus1◆Proven
Entry 87¢·300 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $261 · WR 68.7%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven
Entry 50¢·336 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $168 · WR 64.2%
D
Dumfuq-Rewards-Bot
Entry 59¢·156.1 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $92 · WR 70.0%
L
lightsout912
Entry 90¢·100 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $90 · WR 67.2%
T
Thorough-Emitter
Entry 91¢·16.6 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 70.0%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-85.8%)
Whales
27
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 25¢·2,071 shares
Invested
$524
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-524
$-524INV $524 · WR 85.9%
M
Mrpike🥈
Entry 54¢·413.4 shares
Invested
$224
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-224
$-224INV $224 · WR 69.0%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 39¢·453.5 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-175
$-175INV $175 · WR 72.0%
P
PiMaak
Entry 10¢·500 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 67.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 4¢·1,281.9 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $48 · WR 87.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 3¢·1,159 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $34 · WR 85.8%
1
101456
Entry 4¢·839.9 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $34 · WR 55.7%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 56¢·44.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 57.6%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 25¢·46 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 59.8%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 21¢·42.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 27
Smart Whale Trades
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