Tech/AIResolved
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$18.0K
381 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 141 traders
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs15 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 49% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $475 is directional: YES $231·NO $244YES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.0K(+88.2%)
Whales
15
M
melonmanm◆Proven🥇
Entry 51¢·7,371.5 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$3584
+$3584INV $3.8K · WR 69.9%
T
turtle911◆Proven🥈
Entry 89¢·299.2 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $266 · WR 73.4%
K
KickstandBot🥉
Entry 95¢·105 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $100 · WR 66.0%
L
lamykhedged
Entry 31¢·251 shares·also $126 on NO
Invested
$79
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $79 · WR 57.4%
M
MarquisDeMott◆Proven
Entry 99¢·77 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
97.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $76 · WR 97.9%
4
4ts3hc
Entry 75¢·94.3 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $71 · WR 71.9%
B
BrownBeeshedged
Entry 50¢·140 shares·also $448 on NO
Invested
$70
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $70 · WR 62.6%
6
0x67babdb5...
Entry 87¢·47 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
93.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $41 · WR 93.5%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 27¢·131.1 shares·also $146 on NO
Invested
$35
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $35 · WR 72.1%
K
kl1v
Entry 50¢·42.9 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $21 · WR 80.8%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.0K(-98.3%)
Whales
15
B
BrownBees🥇hedged
Entry 9¢·5,252 shares·also $70 on YES
Invested
$448
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-448
$-448INV $448 · WR 62.6%
G
gambler925🥈
Entry 16¢·1,253.5 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-205
$-205INV $206 · WR 56.7%
B
balthazar🥉hedged
Entry 18¢·818 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$146
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-146
$-146INV $146 · WR 72.1%
L
lamykhedged
Entry 50¢·251 shares·also $79 on YES
Invested
$126
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $126 · WR 57.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·84 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $42 · WR 66.8%
P
parameter1
Entry 45¢·75.9 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $34 · WR 62.1%
G
G24L8hedged
Entry 65¢·15.7 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 66.8%
H
hithitfar
Entry 65¢·14.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 59.5%
S
Scoopdewhoop
Entry 65¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 56.8%
0
0x02b8c8e5...
Entry 36¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 72.2%
Showing top 10 of 15
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