Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$8.5K
337 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 114 traders
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs8 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $723 is directional: YES $693·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$822
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$308(+37.5%)
Whales
8
D
dedidanc◆Proven🥇
Entry 89¢·663.9 shares
Invested
$593
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $593 · WR 62.1%
L
lamyk🥈hedged
Entry 26¢·244 shares·also $271 on NO
Invested
$64
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $64 · WR 56.8%
M
molodoyy🥉hedged
Entry 38¢·145.1 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $55 · WR 63.6%
N
noname-
Entry 92¢·57 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $53 · WR 57.5%
N
NeevS
Entry 93¢·50 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $46 · WR 88.6%
H
hithitfar
Entry 27¢·23.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $6 · WR 59.7%
M
melonmanm◆Proven
Entry 50¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4 · WR 69.6%
M
Mixed-Faucet
Entry 96¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$383
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$371(-96.9%)
Whales
8
L
lamyk🥇hedged
Entry 111¢·244 shares·also $64 on YES
Invested
$271
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-271
$-271INV $271 · WR 56.8%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥈
Entry 55¢·75.5 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $41 · WR 79.3%
L
lightsout912🥉
Entry 18¢·150 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $27 · WR 67.1%
M
Majas
Entry 145¢·17.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 67.4%
M
molodoyyhedged
Entry 78¢·20.1 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 63.6%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 3¢·50 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.1%
A
abccbaq
Entry 8¢·13.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 89.3%
K
Kimera-
Entry 73¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 65.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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