Tech/AI261 days left
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
85¢
85% implied
NO Price
15¢
15% implied
Volume
$10.2K
388 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 101 traders
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
4 MARKETS · $44.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs5 NO
69%31%
69% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$1.1K+14 new NO$189
$117 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.4K is directional: YES $2.2K·NO $132YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
60.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$431(+17.7%)
Whales
11
M
Milksheen🥇
Entry 80¢·2,184.2 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$115
+$115INV $1.7K · WR 57.5%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven🥈
Entry 74¢·400 shares
Invested
$296
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $296 · WR 67.5%
I
iutwpfal🥉hedged
Entry 38¢·292.4 shares·also $198 on NO
Invested
$112
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$135
+$135INV $112 · WR 74.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 84¢·98 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $82 · WR 57.7%
A
AboveLookUp
Entry 73¢·82.5 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $61 · WR 72.7%
V
VolynMolfar
Entry 77¢·63 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $49 · WR 66.0%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 29¢·112 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $32 · WR 56.1%
J
just-bettor
Entry 45¢·61.5 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $27 · WR 62.0%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 55¢·40 shares·also $27 on NO
Invested
$22
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $22 · WR 57.2%
T
techhawk
Entry 26¢·40.5 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $11 · WR 62.7%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$423
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$233(-55.1%)
Whales
5
I
iutwpfal🥇hedged
Entry 63¢·311.9 shares·also $112 on YES
Invested
$198
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-149
$-149INV $198 · WR 74.1%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥈
Entry 15¢·836 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $129 · WR 63.6%
N
NoTeacher🥉hedged
Entry 117¢·56 shares·also $32 on YES
Invested
$66
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $66 · WR 56.1%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 68¢·40 shares·also $22 on YES
Invested
$27
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $27 · WR 57.2%
Y
yoyo424269
Entry 34¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 70.4%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 533ms