58 days left
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$14.9K
480 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 189 traders
What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?
7 MARKETS · $58.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs21 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 30¢
YES 19%NO 81%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 30¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
$32
$58
+11 new YES+5 new NO
$37 bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 24h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $178 is directional: YES $167·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$167
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$95(+57.0%)
Whales
5
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥇
Entry 17¢·579 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $97 · WR 62.8%
1
1walrus🥈
Entry 19¢·216.5 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $41 · WR 64.4%
G
GeneralIndex🥉
Entry 46¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $12 · WR 55.4%
D
dangtruong1991
Entry 35¢·25 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 73.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 21¢·40 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 66.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$125(+9.9%)
Whales
21
M
mantou11🥇
Entry 51¢·391 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $200 · WR 56.0%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 77¢·200 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $154 · WR 70.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 32¢·432.6 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $139 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 81¢·162 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $132 · WR 88.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 82¢·160 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $131 · WR 71.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 77¢·135 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $104 · WR 88.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $40 · WR 72.0%
M
Mellow-Stepdaughter-Counsel
Entry 81¢·48.6 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $39 · WR 82.8%
P
pollo07
Entry 81¢·42.5 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $34 · WR 81.8%
K
kaxel78
Entry 81¢·42.5 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $34 · WR 82.0%
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