PoliticsResolved
Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$9.2K
243 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 130 traders
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 100¢
YES 42%NO 58%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 100¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $377 is directional: YES $237·NO $140YES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$776(+44.7%)
Whales
8
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥇
Entry 89¢·1,532.3 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$164
+$164INV $1.4K · WR 77.0%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥈
Entry 97¢·130 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $126 · WR 78.8%
F
flippon🥉
Entry 42¢·269.3 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$157
+$157INV $113 · WR 55.6%
S
sollydisa
Entry 19¢·555 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$451
+$451INV $104 · WR 57.9%
B
big-bird1
Entry 95¢·10.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 69.1%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 99¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 60.4%
1
0x11eaaf41...
Entry 97¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 58.8%
I
IQQiu
Entry 90¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$478
Avg Win Rate
78.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$478(-100.0%)
Whales
11
L
longliveapples◆Proven🥇
Entry 78¢·176.9 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $137 · WR 61.2%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 79¢·156.4 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $124 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 11¢·793.5 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $86 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 51¢·114.6 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $59 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 83¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $33 · WR 87.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 31¢·56.3 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 79.2%
M
mapleggg
Entry 64¢·10.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 85.7%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 100¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 60.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 81¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 66.8%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 76¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 68.3%
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