EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$325.6K
3,745 trades
Smart Whales
95
of 647 traders · 1 on both sides
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
3 MARKETS · $346.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)←
0¢+17¢$325.6K16/80Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)←+17¢0¢
$325.6K16/80
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs80 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 32 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$24 of $7.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.8K·NO $4.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.3K(-99.8%)
Whales
16
S
soapbubbles🥇
Entry 23¢·8,363.9 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-1886
$-1886INV $1.9K · WR 66.7%
H
heyhellohey🥈
Entry 11¢·4,934.4 shares
Invested
$538
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-535
$-535INV $538 · WR 69.2%
4
456ythgbvcadscvb🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·2,513.3 shares·also $1.7K on NO
Invested
$428
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-428
$-428INV $428 · WR 77.6%
R
Reasonable-Tabby
Entry 22¢·1,448 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-323
$-323INV $324 · WR 73.5%
H
HolyMoses7hedged
Entry 1¢·4,645.9 shares·also $3.7K on NO
Invested
$69
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $69 · WR 77.6%
E
Extroverted-Development
Entry 24¢·104 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $24 · WR 59.7%
Q
qcp2hedged
Entry 9¢·127.6 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 65.1%
E
0xeafa4bde...
Entry 24¢·42 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 55.6%
L
loser124
Entry 1¢·500 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 69.5%
F
0xf6f8380b...
Entry 24¢·13 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 78.6%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$31.9K
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.1K(+15.9%)
Whales
80
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 121¢·6,000 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1247
$-1247INV $7.2K · WR 57.7%
H
HolyMoses7🥈hedged
Entry 77¢·4,814.5 shares·also $69 on YES
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$1106
+$1106INV $3.7K · WR 77.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 80¢·4,182.4 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$816
+$816INV $3.4K · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 80¢·3,687.4 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$754
+$754INV $2.9K · WR 85.9%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 77¢·3,464.2 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$792
+$792INV $2.7K · WR 83.8%
L
LA17
Entry 82¢·2,345.1 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
82.5%
Position P&L
+$431
+$431INV $1.9K · WR 82.5%
4
456ythgbvcadscvbhedged
Entry 69¢·2,513.3 shares·also $428 on YES
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$781
+$781INV $1.7K · WR 77.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 82¢·1,259.4 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $1.0K · WR 86.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 86¢·1,114.4 shares
Invested
$954
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$160
+$160INV $954 · WR 68.2%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 77¢·1,092.4 shares
Invested
$836
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$256
+$256INV $836 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 80
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