Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$6.1K
208 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 106 traders
VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $28.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs17 NO
94%
94% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+2 new YES$1+1 new NO$249
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $364 is directional: YES $21·NO $343YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$17(-79.2%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$810
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$189(+23.3%)
Whales
17
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·250 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $249 · WR 60.7%
P
ProvidingExitLiq🥈
Entry 59¢·375.4 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$132
+$132INV $220 · WR 67.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 71¢·146.7 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $104 · WR 87.6%
A
anciano
Entry 84¢·78.9 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $66 · WR 61.8%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 99¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $29 · WR 77.9%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 79¢·32 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $25 · WR 55.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 83¢·30 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $25 · WR 88.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 69¢·33 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $23 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 73¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 68¢·15.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 86.5%
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