Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
68¢
68% implied
NO Price
32¢
32% implied
Volume
$4.9K
166 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 80 traders
VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $28.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 99%
+1 new YES$148+1 new NO$2
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $257 is directional: YES $254·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$402
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$80(-19.9%)
Whales
4
A
anciano🥇
Entry 94¢·241.6 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $227 · WR 61.8%
P
probability◆Proven🥈
Entry 99¢·150.1 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $148 · WR 60.7%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 23¢·112.6 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $26 · WR 55.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 8¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $1 · WR 77.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$266
Avg Win Rate
85.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$167(-62.9%)
Whales
12
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 88¢·146.7 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $130 · WR 87.6%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 93¢·33.2 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $31 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 80¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $24 · WR 87.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $17 · WR 86.1%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 86¢·16.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $14 · WR 82.4%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 80¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 84.1%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 86¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 81.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 85¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $9 · WR 86.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 81¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $8 · WR 88.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $8 · WR 86.1%
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