Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?
YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$4.9K
109 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 61 traders
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $45.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs14 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $954 is directional: YES $953·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$993
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$764(+77.0%)
Whales
4
C
Chungvicular◆Proven🥇
Entry 53¢·1,634.9 shares
Invested
$866
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$746
+$746INV $866 · WR 60.6%
M
MonkeyBrains123🥈
Entry 94¢·90 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $85 · WR 59.2%
L
lpgb🥉hedged
Entry 98¢·40 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 71.7%
M
Metallic-Monasticism
Entry 13¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $3 · WR 56.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$348
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$341(-98.0%)
Whales
14
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 89¢·72.1 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $64 · WR 87.4%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 85¢·70.8 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 86¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $42 · WR 87.6%
R
RayGuy
Entry 100¢·37 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $37 · WR 57.9%
N
neverhackme
Entry 91¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $36 · WR 75.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 41¢·70 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $28 · WR 71.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 52¢·49.2 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 87.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 90¢·25 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 79.2%
T
That-Scorn-Midden
Entry 34¢·35.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 89.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 79.6%
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