Politics1 days left

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 10%-15%?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

11¢

11% implied

NO Price

89¢

89% implied

Volume

$3.7K

154 trades

Smart Whales

16

of 75 traders

NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory

9 MARKETS · $39.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

9¢+6¢$1.4K2/11

by 40% or more+6¢9¢

7¢+26¢$1.8K5/10

by 35%-40%+26¢7¢

11¢+2¢$6.0K2/13

by 30%-35%+2¢11¢

23¢−2¢$8.0K3/11

by 25%-30%−2¢23¢

27¢−18¢$6.2K1/10

by 20%-25%−18¢27¢

4¢+3¢$10.6K1/14

by 15%-20%+3¢4¢

11¢−5¢$3.7K1/15

by 10%-15%←−5¢11¢

1¢−1¢$9250/14

by 0%-10%−1¢1¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election

1¢−1¢$8800/14

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election−1¢1¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs14 NO

13%88%

88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges

+8 new YES$30+6 new NO$204

$12 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $72 is directional: YES $10·NO $62

YES Team

Total Invested

$10

Avg Win Rate

78.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+14.6%)

Whales

2

Entry 8¢·104 shares

+$1INV $9 · WR 79.6%

Entry 8¢·10 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 72.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$314

Avg Win Rate

83.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$192(+61.3%)

Whales

14

Entry 96¢·65 shares

$-3INV $62 · WR 73.8%

god83743894🥈

Entry 50¢·100 shares

+$39INV $50 · WR 86.1%

haveagoodday🥉

Entry 50¢·100 shares

+$39INV $50 · WR 87.1%

Entry 50¢·94.2 shares

+$37INV $47 · WR 88.0%

Entry 50¢·46 shares

+$18INV $23 · WR 88.9%

Entry 50¢·40 shares

+$16INV $20 · WR 87.8%

Entry 54¢·32.8 shares

+$12INV $18 · WR 86.2%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$8INV $10 · WR 66.5%

Admirable-Hobby

Entry 50¢·18 shares

+$7INV $9 · WR 83.1%

Entry 50¢·18 shares

+$7INV $9 · WR 78.1%

Showing top 10 of 14

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 497ms