Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 60%-65%?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$6.8K
230 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 100 traders
MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $83 is directional: YES $78·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$78
Avg Win Rate
58.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$75(+96.5%)
Whales
4
T
thanksforplayin🥇
Entry 37¢·97.6 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $36 · WR 55.9%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 16¢·162.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $25 · WR 62.1%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 26¢·62 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $16 · WR 57.9%
S
sweetj
Entry 9¢·11.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$101
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$31(-30.4%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 83¢·36.6 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $31 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $16 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $16 · WR 86.1%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant
Entry 90¢·11.7 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $11 · WR 79.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 58¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 87.9%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 89¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 81.8%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 74¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 68.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 86¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 66.7%
M
mapleggg
Entry 82¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 85.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 33¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 86.0%
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