Politics22 days left

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 55%-60%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

20¢

20% implied

NO Price

80¢

80% implied

Volume

$4.4K

250 trades

Smart Whales

14

of 72 traders

MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $20.1K MATCHED

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs11 NO

21%79%

79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges

+1 new YES$3+2 new NO$48

$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$5

Avg Win Rate

64.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$2(-29.9%)

Whales

3

toomanyfent🥇

Entry 40¢·5.1 shares

$-1INV $2 · WR 58.7%

Entry 16¢·10 shares

$-0INV $2 · WR 75.0%

just-bettor🥉

Entry 19¢·7.7 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 62.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$91

Avg Win Rate

82.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$95(+104.4%)

Whales

11

qwen4.1.fund🥇

Entry 50¢·40 shares

+$12INV $20 · WR 85.9%

Clean-Chick-Cupcake🥈

Entry 50¢·23.4 shares

+$7INV $12 · WR 82.7%

plainfolder🥉

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$6INV $10 · WR 86.0%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$6INV $10 · WR 87.7%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$6INV $10 · WR 89.0%

Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled

Entry 50¢·18 shares

+$5INV $9 · WR 79.1%

Entry 12¢·60 shares

+$41INV $7 · WR 60.6%

Satisfied-Shoehorn-Blast

Entry 50¢·12 shares

+$4INV $6 · WR 83.4%

Entry 50¢·10 shares

+$3INV $5 · WR 75.9%

Entry 50¢·2 shares

+$1INV $1 · WR 66.8%

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