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75 days left

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
45¢
45% implied
NO Price
55¢
55% implied
Volume
$10.3K
420 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 101 traders

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

9 MARKETS · $104.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs5 NO
55%46%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$102+11 new NO$421
$157 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $525·NO $805
YES Team
Total Invested
$783
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$374(+47.8%)
Whales
6
S
Started-with-20-USDProven🥇
Entry 19¢·2,531 shares
+$592INV $483 · WR 59.1%
H
HDGB🥈hedged
Entry 347¢·65 shares·also $230 on NO
$-197INV $226 · WR 83.3%
J
just-bettor🥉
Entry 28¢·100 shares
$-11INV $28 · WR 60.0%
G
G24L8hedged
Entry 60¢·31 shares·also $14 on NO
$-5INV $19 · WR 66.8%
S
Scoopdewhoophedged
Entry 56¢·25 shares·also $14 on NO
$-3INV $14 · WR 56.9%
V
Vagabund97
Entry 53¢·26 shares
$-3INV $14 · WR 66.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 55% YES: the 30-year Treasury yield dip below…