YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$23.7K
467 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 116 traders
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
15 MARKETS · $365.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027
13¢+34¢$18.5K7/8Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027+34¢13¢
$18.5K7/8
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027
21¢+23¢$15.4K4/5Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027+23¢21¢
$15.4K4/5
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027
3¢+35¢$12.6K5/8Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027+35¢3¢
$12.6K5/8
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027
2¢+18¢$6.7K1/4Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027+18¢2¢
$6.7K1/4
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027←
5¢+36¢$23.7K7/10Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027←+36¢5¢
$23.7K7/10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027
6¢+37¢$15.3K6/8Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027+37¢6¢
$15.3K6/8
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027
3¢+30¢$3.0K3/6Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027+30¢3¢
$3.0K3/6
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027
1¢+42¢$43.7K9/12Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027+42¢1¢
$43.7K9/12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027
1¢+32¢$8.0K3/6Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027+32¢1¢
$8.0K3/6
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027
2¢+18¢$5.1K2/8Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027+18¢2¢
$5.1K2/8
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027
1¢+24¢$40.8K1/3Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027+24¢1¢
$40.8K1/3
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027
1¢+46¢$12.5K8/9Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027+46¢1¢
$12.5K8/9
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027
1¢+38¢$38.1K9/14Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027+38¢1¢
$38.1K9/14
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+42 new YES$1.5K+33 new NO$11.5K
$2.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 22 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $774 is directional: YES $0·NO $774YES Team
Total Invested
$113
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$94(-83.6%)
Whales
7
H
hithitfar🥇hedged
Entry 95¢·40 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $38 · WR 59.5%
V
Vagabund97🥈
Entry 86¢·41 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $35 · WR 66.8%
M
Majas🥉hedged
Entry 10¢·200 shares·also $380 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $20 · WR 66.5%
S
Scoopdewhoophedged
Entry 70¢·20 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $14 · WR 56.9%
J
just-bettorhedged
Entry 6¢·50 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 60.0%
G
G24L8hedged
Entry 11¢·20 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 66.8%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 8¢·0.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 56.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$189(+10.2%)
Whales
10
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 89¢·630 shares
Invested
$558
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $558 · WR 72.1%
H
HDGB🥈
Entry 78¢·547.3 shares
Invested
$428
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $428 · WR 83.3%
M
Majas🥉hedged
Entry 95¢·400 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$380
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
—
—INV $380 · WR 66.5%
C
commeowder◆Proven
Entry 95¢·301 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $286 · WR 69.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 94¢·116.5 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $109 · WR 57.6%
E
Ethereal008
Entry 90¢·66.1 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $60 · WR 91.7%
S
Scoopdewhoophedged
Entry 68¢·20 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $14 · WR 56.9%
G
G24L8hedged
Entry 39¢·20 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $8 · WR 66.8%
J
just-bettorhedged
Entry 94¢·2.5 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 60.0%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 5¢·40 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $2 · WR 59.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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