YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$39.3K
1,211 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 248 traders · 1 on both sides
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?
2 MARKETS · $42.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs21 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 14 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$290 of $1.3K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. True directional: YES $652·NO $347YES Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-99.6%)
Whales
14
T
thanksforplayin🥇hedged
Entry 103¢·626.6 shares·also $183 on NO
Invested
$647
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-647
$-647INV $647 · WR 55.6%
A
AhHoi🥈
Entry 87¢·650 shares
Invested
$563
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-559
$-559INV $563 · WR 84.5%
P
PippiTrader🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·571.2 shares·also $204 on NO
Invested
$563
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-563
$-563INV $563 · WR 62.3%
Z
ZalphaAIhedged
Entry 137¢·144.9 shares·also $95 on NO
Invested
$198
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-198
$-198INV $198 · WR 64.1%
R
Rennieboth sides
Entry 50¢·290 shares·also $145 on NO
Invested
$145
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-143
$-143INV $145 · WR 66.7%
G
GellerCharlie
Entry 11¢·519.4 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $58 · WR 71.7%
P
PrimePenguin◆Proven
Entry 19¢·168.8 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $31 · WR 59.5%
S
sdhyky
Entry 26¢·89 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 59.4%
S
Suburban-Ecliptic◆Proven
Entry 38¢·60 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 55.2%
R
Respectful-Worshiper
Entry 17¢·29.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 70.6%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+107.2%)
Whales
21
W
west77🥇
Entry 41¢·875 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$514
+$514INV $361 · WR 71.9%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 60¢·501.7 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$199
+$199INV $302 · WR 57.7%
P
PippiTrader🥉hedged
Entry 131¢·155.2 shares·also $563 on YES
Invested
$204
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $204 · WR 62.3%
T
thanksforplayinhedged
Entry 17¢·1,058.6 shares·also $647 on YES
Invested
$183
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$876
+$876INV $183 · WR 55.6%
R
Rennieboth sides
Entry 50¢·290 shares·also $145 on YES
Invested
$145
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$143
+$143INV $145 · WR 66.7%
S
Suirenzirou◆Proven
Entry 94¢·132.7 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $125 · WR 86.6%
U
Unhealthy-Studio
Entry 92¢·108.7 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $100 · WR 70.4%
Z
ZalphaAIhedged
Entry 87¢·108.9 shares·also $198 on YES
Invested
$95
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $95 · WR 64.1%
B
beimo
Entry 72¢·100 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $72 · WR 82.7%
B
big-bird1
Entry 100¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 68.4%
Showing top 10 of 21
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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