107 days left
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$99.5K
1,878 trades
Smart Whales
59
of 394 traders
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
9 MARKETS · $230.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026←
36¢−13¢$99.5K14/46Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026←−13¢36¢
$99.5K14/46
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026
0¢+52¢$3.4K15/14Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026+52¢0¢
$3.4K15/14
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026
61¢−33¢$122.8K23/60Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026−33¢61¢
$122.8K23/60
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026
0¢+47¢$5.1K15/17Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026+47¢0¢
$5.1K15/17
Will Movie K have the best domestic opening week in 2026
0¢+100¢$09/0Will Movie K have the best domestic opening week in 2026+100¢0¢
$09/0
Will Movie M have the best domestic opening week in 2026
0¢+100¢$09/0Will Movie M have the best domestic opening week in 2026+100¢0¢
$09/0
Will Movie R have the best domestic opening week in 2026
0¢+100¢$09/0Will Movie R have the best domestic opening week in 2026+100¢0¢
$09/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs47 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$1.4K+7 new NO$1.1K
$189 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.9K is directional: YES $3.8K·NO $2.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$834(-20.9%)
Whales
12
I
ImJustKen🥇
Entry 46¢·7,596 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-831
$-831INV $3.5K · WR 61.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 48¢·444.4 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $212 · WR 79.6%
J
JosephTrump🥉
Entry 48¢·179 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $86 · WR 65.4%
C
crystalfalls◆Proven
Entry 14¢·430 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $60 · WR 65.2%
S
Slot.Machine.Savage
Entry 55¢·100 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $55 · WR 57.5%
M
Majas
Entry 45¢·66.7 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $30 · WR 66.5%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 70¢·8.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $6 · WR 78.0%
O
on-cinema
Entry 14¢·35.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $5 · WR 67.9%
F
Famous-Sovereignty
Entry 79¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 87.6%
C
cy6erpunker
Entry 44¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 67.2%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$14.4K
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+12.8%)
Whales
47
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 54¢·3,471.5 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$374
+$374INV $1.9K · WR 85.8%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 53¢·2,962.3 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$328
+$328INV $1.6K · WR 85.2%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 57¢·2,604.4 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $1.5K · WR 72.1%
M
merod
Entry 52¢·2,811.2 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$351
+$351INV $1.5K · WR 84.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 61¢·2,170.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $1.3K · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 62¢·1,076.2 shares
Invested
$667
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $667 · WR 85.9%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 60¢·1,076.5 shares
Invested
$646
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $646 · WR 59.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 61¢·936 shares
Invested
$568
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $568 · WR 89.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 58¢·736.1 shares
Invested
$426
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $426 · WR 85.8%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 53¢·696.2 shares
Invested
$370
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $370 · WR 55.2%
Showing top 10 of 47
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