Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?
YES Price
81¢
81% implied
NO Price
19¢
19% implied
Volume
$10.7K
554 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 162 traders
CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)
4 MARKETS · $27.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Candidate A win the CA-11 House seat
50¢+50¢$02/0Will Candidate A win the CA-11 House seat+50¢50¢
$02/0
Will Candidate B win the CA-11 House seat
50¢+50¢$02/0Will Candidate B win the CA-11 House seat+50¢50¢
$02/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs21 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$3.4K+9 new NO$9
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $359 is directional: YES $357·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$672
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$140(+20.8%)
Whales
9
A
anciano🥇
Entry 69¢·431 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $297 · WR 62.0%
J
Juju48🥈
Entry 99¢·186.8 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $185 · WR 75.8%
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven🥉
Entry 59¢·215.2 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $128 · WR 70.3%
S
sweetj
Entry 77¢·39.7 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $30 · WR 73.4%
W
Winged-Holder
Entry 78¢·28 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 · WR 58.1%
H
hawk11
Entry 66¢·6.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 57.6%
1
0x1a98092a...hedged
Entry 36¢·7.7 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 68.8%
S
SitsToPee
Entry 58¢·4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 75.6%
5
5ps
Entry 80¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$343
Avg Win Rate
82.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$118(-34.4%)
Whales
21
K
korda77🥇
Entry 38¢·342 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $128 · WR 84.9%
M
merod🥈
Entry 37¢·101 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $37 · WR 83.6%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 33¢·68.3 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $23 · WR 88.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 26¢·82.4 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $21 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 32¢·60.1 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $19 · WR 88.5%
H
hitunfar
Entry 50¢·38 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $19 · WR 57.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 15¢·108.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $17 · WR 72.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 35¢·42.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $15 · WR 87.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 17¢·66.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 87.6%
C
C.PM
Entry 21¢·45 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 83.4%
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