Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?
YES Price
97¢
97% implied
NO Price
3¢
3% implied
Volume
$8.7K
541 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 160 traders
CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)
4 MARKETS · $24.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Candidate A win the CA-11 House seat
50¢+50¢$014/0Will Candidate A win the CA-11 House seat+50¢50¢
$014/0
Will Candidate B win the CA-11 House seat
50¢+50¢$014/0Will Candidate B win the CA-11 House seat+50¢50¢
$014/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs19 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$709+17 new NO$58
$62 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $350 is directional: YES $350·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$480
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$208(+43.2%)
Whales
6
A
anciano🥇
Entry 69¢·431 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $297 · WR 59.8%
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven🥈
Entry 59¢·215.2 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $128 · WR 69.5%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 77¢·39.7 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $30 · WR 74.4%
W
Winged-Holder
Entry 78¢·28 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 · WR 57.4%
1
0x1a98092a...hedged
Entry 36¢·7.7 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $3 · WR 68.8%
5
5ps
Entry 80¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$304
Avg Win Rate
82.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$269(-88.7%)
Whales
19
K
korda77🥇
Entry 38¢·342 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-117
$-117INV $128 · WR 85.5%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 33¢·68.3 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $23 · WR 88.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 26¢·82.4 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $21 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 32¢·60.1 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $19 · WR 88.7%
H
hitunfar
Entry 50¢·38 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 57.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 15¢·108.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $17 · WR 72.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 35¢·42.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 17¢·66.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $11 · WR 87.7%
C
C.PM
Entry 21¢·45 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $10 · WR 85.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 36¢·23.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 86.1%
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