PoliticsResolved
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$11.3K
404 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 142 traders
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs12 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $6·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$395(+32.1%)
Whales
10
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 75¢·814.5 shares
Invested
$615
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$199
+$199INV $615 · WR 56.4%
N
nicoco89🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·265.2 shares·also $98 on NO
Invested
$216
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $216 · WR 62.6%
I
i2dt🥉hedged
Entry 56¢·230 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$129
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $129 · WR 70.2%
F
Flipadelphia
Entry 96¢·117.9 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $113 · WR 56.8%
S
Secondary-Shock
Entry 97¢·68 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $66 · WR 72.2%
C
Cheery-Swanlinghedged
Entry 79¢·50 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $40 · WR 73.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 99¢·36.7 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $36 · WR 68.2%
M
MrAndMsClaude
Entry 37¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $7 · WR 61.7%
R
Rolex2
Entry 28¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $6 · WR 84.1%
R
Rocamado
Entry 99¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 91.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$700
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$700(-99.9%)
Whales
12
T
TrangNgo🥇
Entry 105¢·464.3 shares
Invested
$486
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-486
$-486INV $486 · WR 92.3%
N
nicoco89🥈hedged
Entry 40¢·245.8 shares·also $216 on YES
Invested
$98
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $98 · WR 62.6%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian🥉
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 59.6%
I
i2dthedged
Entry 14¢·159.8 shares·also $129 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 70.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 29¢·64.9 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 79.6%
C
Cheery-Swanlinghedged
Entry 31¢·50 shares·also $40 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 73.4%
Y
yzhaobk-nrt
Entry 80¢·6.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 87.5%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 32¢·15 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 67.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 3¢·143 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 72.2%
I
i18z
Entry 6¢·43.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 87.1%
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