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GeopoliticsResolved

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$8.3K
263 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 74 traders

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

20 MARKETS · $13.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs3 NO
79%21%
79% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $1.3K·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
78.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$490(+32.4%)
Whales
11
F
Feracios🥇
Entry 98¢·874.6 shares
+$9INV $859 · WR 86.5%
G
Gleeful-Intervention🥈
Entry 98¢·325.3 shares
+$3INV $320 · WR 56.8%
D
DumbOracle🥉
Entry 62¢·260.3 shares
+$99INV $161 · WR 72.9%
B
Benuptoshenanigns
Entry 93¢·61.8 shares
+$4INV $58 · WR 88.2%
R
RobbbProven
Entry 50¢·99.6 shares
+$50INV $50 · WR 81.2%
B
black4562
Entry 95¢·31.6 shares
+$1INV $30 · WR 62.7%
D
Dafri220286hedged
Entry 5¢·279.3 shares·also $211 on NO
+$265INV $15 · WR 90.0%
E
Enchanted-Eleventh
Entry 79¢·12.2 shares
+$3INV $10 · WR 73.1%
B
0xba31ed76...
Entry 95¢·5.3 shares
+$0INV $5 · WR 92.3%
P
PashaAsOraculhedged
Entry 6¢·59.1 shares·also $38 on NO
+$56INV $3 · WR 64.7%
Showing top 10 of 11

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 79% YES: Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026