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GeopoliticsResolved

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$9.4K
357 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 98 traders

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

20 MARKETS · $14.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs4 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7 is directional: YES $7·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
90.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$506(+16.8%)
Whales
8
B
Bromley86Proven🥇
Entry 99¢·2,765.4 shares
+$22INV $2.7K · WR 90.8%
F
Feracios🥈
Entry 48¢·365.9 shares
+$191INV $175 · WR 86.5%
B
Benuptoshenanigns🥉hedged
Entry 100¢·71.8 shares·also $1 on NO
$-0INV $72 · WR 88.2%
G
Gleeful-Interventionhedged
Entry 3¢·247.7 shares·also $242 on NO
+$240INV $8 · WR 56.8%
E
Enchanted-Eleventh
Entry 75¢·6.7 shares
+$2INV $5 · WR 73.1%
R
RobbbProven
Entry 41¢·9.6 shares
+$6INV $4 · WR 81.2%
P
PashaAsOraculhedged
Entry 7¢·49.3 shares·also $40 on NO
+$46INV $3 · WR 64.7%
B
0xba31ed76...
Entry 92¢·2.2 shares
+$0INV $2 · WR 92.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 67% YES: Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026